Monthly Archives: September 2016

Water Wars: Shifting Strategies in the South China Sea

President Rodrigo Duterte of the Philippines once again roiled the region’s foreign policy establishment by suggesting a significant shift in Manila’s engagement with Washington. On Monday he said that U.S. Special Forces combatting terrorist groups in the southern island of Mindanao “have to go.” The next day he also announced that joint patrols with the […]

Australia nudges PH on sea ruling

AUSTRALIAN Foreign Minister Julie Bishop on Wednesday questioned President Rodrigo Duterte over his decision not to enforce the ruling of the Permanent Court of Arbitration rejecting China’s claims over most of the South China Sea. She said that was despite the fact that it was the Philippines that initiated the case against China, which has […]

Could the South China Sea dispute trigger a Sino-US war? Five charts that tell you who might win

Chinese expansion in the South China Sea is bringing conflict between Beijing and its neighbours – Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Vietnam – closer than it has been for decades. Vietnam has fortified several islands it controls, while Japan has been publicly rebuked by Beijing over its ‘interference’ in the sea – most of […]

The “strategic triangle” that would allow Beijing to control the South China Sea

Of all the potential flashpoints in the contested South China Sea, none is more nervously watched today than Scarborough Shoal, a large coral atoll with a reef-rimmed lagoon. It encompasses 58 sq mi (150 sq km) and lies less than 150 miles (241 km) from the Philippines’ coast. Observers have long suspected that China wants […]

CHINA’S REACTIONS TO THE ARBITRATION RULING WILL LEAD IT INTO BATTLES IT WON’T WIN, PART II

Part I examined the military implications of China’s continued “military” actions versus Japan in the East China Sea or the United States and other countries in the South China Sea if China were to establish an ADIZ. Part II examines whether China has real economic or trade leverage to force other countries, including the United […]

Chinese air force carries out long-range drills in Pacific

BEIJING, Sept 12 (Reuters) – Chinese bombers, fighters and early warning and aerial refueling aircraft on Monday flew through the Bashi Channel that separates Taiwan and the Philippines to exercises in the Western Pacific, the air force said. The air force described the exercises are part of normal, annual, planned drills, which accord with international […]